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  • Gauging Japan’s labour market using job listings and salary data

    As the risk of stagflation in Japan has risen, some funds have shown interest in estimating the results of Shunto – the wage negotiations between corporations and unions that take place every March. Several data vendors are preparing to offer products that capture significant changes to inflation and wages. This report reviews studies that use corporate financial, governmental and job listings data to monitor the Japanese labour market.
    Literature Review 5 Sep 2023
  • Forecasting stock returns using ChatGPT

    The full scope of ChatGPT’s application within the financial industry has yet to be realised. In this literature review, we review a 2023 paper assessing ChatGPT against other GPT models and other sentiment providers. This paper focuses on ChatGPT’s ability to predict stock returns using sentiment analysis.
    Literature Review 22 Aug 2023
  • An alternative data approach for venture capital

    Unlike their public markets counterparts, venture capital investors can be hindered by a lack of data to help inform investment processes. Several venture-oriented platforms have materialised to fill this void, providing numerous metrics with varying relevancy. We summarise a study that uses machine learning to identify the most relevant factors for early-stage venture capital investors.
    Literature Review 8 Aug 2023
  • Predicting stock returns using large language models

    Text is an underexploited data source for understanding asset markets. So far, academic research has studied only a tiny fraction of market-relevant text data and often focuses on a single specialised data source. As a result, text information is often represented in rudimentary ways. This report summarises a study that aims to improve stock-return prediction models by extracting contextualised representations of news text derived from large language models (LLMs).
    Literature Review 25 Jul 2023
  • Is inflation being driven by a wage-price spiral?

    The return of high inflation has revived the economic trauma of the 1970s concerning wage-price spirals. To compare the current conditions of inflationary pressure, we summarise a working paper by the IMF that studies the impacts of wage-price spirals on inflation. We also highlight alternative sources of relevant economic data, including salary information, that offer timely insights into wage growth and the current macroeconomic climate.
    Literature Review 11 Jul 2023
  • Assessing the impact of shared telecom infrastructure on digital connectivity

    Almost 3bn of the world’s population still lacked access to and use of digital technologies in 2021. We review a recent study that explores whether investing in shared telecom infrastructure – particularly where independent companies own towers and lease them to network operators – could improve digital connectivity in some developing nations.
    Literature Review 13 Jun 2023
  • Producing financial research using ChatGPT

    The potential uses for ChatGPT have grown as rapidly as its popularity. We summarise a 2023 paper that explores how the technology can assist with financial research, particularly for generating ideas and identifying data.
    Literature Review 30 May 2023
  • Using ChatGPT to aid portfolio management

    With ChatGPT’s rising popularity, a range of studies have considered how applicable it can be to different industries. In this report, we look at a 2023 paper assessing how effective the technology could be in aiding asset allocation and portfolio management.
    Literature Review 18 Apr 2023
  • Gaining an edge from corporate site visits in China

    In an increasingly virtual business environment, a physical presence can give investors an upper hand. A Chinese study attempts to show how corporate site visits by hedge funds can positively influence their returns. We summarise the analysis from this paper and the potential data sources that could help readers monitor site visits by Chinese fund managers.
    Literature Review 7 Mar 2023
  • Examining price bubbles in China’s agricultural commodities market

    We summarise the characteristics of price bubbles in China’s agricultural futures market and the impact of Chinese government policy on these bubbles.
    Literature Review 7 Feb 2023
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