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UK House Prices: Creating a better index using alt data

House Price Indices are one of the most closely observed economic indicators in the world, especially since the global recession in 2008. However, various government and private organisations rely on proprietary and/or public datasets to produce their own interpretation of an HPI. We evaluate some of the leading HPIs in the UK (construction methods, outcomes, advantages, and disadvantages) and highlight relevant alternative data sources for readers interested in constructing a more appropriate HPI for their needs.

Intelligence 2 Aug 2018
Online media sources: a leading crude oil price indicator?

We highlight key findings from an academic paper which analyses whether WTI crude oil price movements can be forecast based on daily traffic and sentiment analysis of four different online media platforms. We also highlight why several Neudata-listed alternative data providers may be useful for readers interested in using a similar approach to crude oil price forecasting.

Literature Review 26 Jul 2018
ESG hedge fund trends – data challenges and opportunities

A recent survey of 80 hedge funds by AIMA found that almost 40% of respondents are already engaging in responsible investing practices. However, data quality issues appear to be the biggest barrier to increasing such initiatives. For quants, these data limitations have made building systematic strategies particularly challenging. At Neudata, we see evidence of this changing as a result of alternative data addressing the many quality-related shortfalls plaguing the industry.

Intelligence 19 Jul 2018
July Tidbits: NY likes UK procurement data

Our roundup of some of the most interesting alternative data provider updates over the past month. Examples include: a procurement data provider signs up a NY-based quant fund, a clickstream data provider receives its fair share of negative press and an e-receipt data provider reveals their panel has dropped by 75%.

Tidbits 12 Jul 2018
Backtesting crop production forecasts

We highlight key findings from a commodity alternative data provider's recent backtest on their US corn production forecasts. The results establish that the group’s forecasts lead USDA estimates, market consensus, and corn futures closing prices. Neudata are the first third party to be made aware of these results.

Intelligence 11 Jul 2018
Spotlight on: Satellite data

From counting cars at mall and shopping centre parking lots to gauge consumer traffic, to calculating the shadows cast on floating-roof tanks to estimate global crude oil supply, satellite data has become one of the more well-known types of alternative data in the market. With significant numbers of institutional investors realizing the value of this data, we address the current state of the industry, as well as some words of caution when approaching satellite data.

Intelligence 28 Jun 2018
Using corporate jet tracking to identify M&A activity

We summarise a case study illustrating how corporate jet activity can yield signals that help investors to identify the most likely acquirer for a takeover target. We also outline an alternative approach to tracking corporate jets using free alternative data sources.

Intelligence 21 Jun 2018
ESG 2.0 – a solution to slow moving ESG scores

With 90% of today’s data created in the last two years, opportunities to leverage vast amounts of unstructured data sources are growing at an exponential rate. The proliferation of AI and big data is transforming the ESG industry – providing investors with a greater supply of more timely information and the ability to develop more sophisticated investing strategies. Alternative data is the driving force behind ESG 2.0.

Intelligence 14 Jun 2018
Verifying Japanese inflation statistics using alt data

We summarise conclusions drawn from an academic paper comparing Japanese CPI data with a Neudata listed alternative data provider in an attempt to evaluate the accuracy of official statistics vs a ‘true’ inflation measure. The authors conclude that 1) the Japanese CPI is a poor predictor of actual inflation when measured inflation is below c.2%, and 2) the US PCE deflator methodology is superior to the Japanese CPI methodology. We also evaluate several alternative Japanese data providers and recommend further academic reading on this topic.

Literature Review 6 Jun 2018
Backtesting psychometric profiling data

We summarise key findings from a backtest using an alternative data provider’s cognitive data scores and shareholder returns. Scores were sourced from statements made by company executives on quarterly earnings calls. In short, the backtest supports the view that higher than trend value scores are likely to precede shareholder gains.

Intelligence 31 May 2018