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  • Gauging Japan’s labour market using job listings and salary data

    As the risk of stagflation in Japan has risen, some funds have shown interest in estimating the results of Shunto – the wage negotiations between corporations and unions that take place every March. Several data vendors are preparing to offer products that capture significant changes to inflation and wages. This report reviews studies that use corporate financial, governmental and job listings data to monitor the Japanese labour market.
    Literature Review 5 Sep 2023
  • Forecasting stock returns using ChatGPT

    The full scope of ChatGPT’s application within the financial industry has yet to be realised. In this literature review, we review a 2023 paper assessing ChatGPT against other GPT models and other sentiment providers. This paper focuses on ChatGPT’s ability to predict stock returns using sentiment analysis.
    Literature Review 22 Aug 2023
  • An alternative data approach for venture capital

    Unlike their public markets counterparts, venture capital investors can be hindered by a lack of data to help inform investment processes. Several venture-oriented platforms have materialised to fill this void, providing numerous metrics with varying relevancy. We summarise a study that uses machine learning to identify the most relevant factors for early-stage venture capital investors.
    Literature Review 8 Aug 2023
  • Predicting stock returns using large language models

    Text is an underexploited data source for understanding asset markets. So far, academic research has studied only a tiny fraction of market-relevant text data and often focuses on a single specialised data source. As a result, text information is often represented in rudimentary ways. This report summarises a study that aims to improve stock-return prediction models by extracting contextualised representations of news text derived from large language models (LLMs).
    Literature Review 25 Jul 2023
  • Is inflation being driven by a wage-price spiral?

    The return of high inflation has revived the economic trauma of the 1970s concerning wage-price spirals. To compare the current conditions of inflationary pressure, we summarise a working paper by the IMF that studies the impacts of wage-price spirals on inflation. We also highlight alternative sources of relevant economic data, including salary information, that offer timely insights into wage growth and the current macroeconomic climate.
    Literature Review 11 Jul 2023
  • Comparing performance persistence between buyout and VC funds

    This literature review summarises a recent paper on comparative performance persistence across PE investment strategies (buyout versus venture capital) in the US since 1984. We examine the underlying data in the study and assess the applicability of other datasets in understanding managers’ interim and final performance, based on internal rate of return, multiple on invested capital and public market equivalent benchmarks.
    Literature Review 27 Jun 2023
  • Assessing the impact of shared telecom infrastructure on digital connectivity

    Almost 3bn of the world’s population still lacked access to and use of digital technologies in 2021. We review a recent study that explores whether investing in shared telecom infrastructure – particularly where independent companies own towers and lease them to network operators – could improve digital connectivity in some developing nations.
    Literature Review 13 Jun 2023
  • Producing financial research using ChatGPT

    The potential uses for ChatGPT have grown as rapidly as its popularity. We summarise a 2023 paper that explores how the technology can assist with financial research, particularly for generating ideas and identifying data.
    Literature Review 30 May 2023
  • Gauging the CECL effect on consumer credit loans

    Current expected credit loss (CECL) is an accounting standard introduced to mitigate banks’ potential losses. But some financial industry professionals believe that implementing this model could raise interest rates and reduce credit access to consumer loans. In light of these claims, we look at a study that assesses the CECL's effects on credit access and pricing.
    Literature Review 16 May 2023
  • US stock market spillover effects on the Chinese A-share market

    We review a study that investigates the NYSE and NASDAQ composite indices' return and volatility spillover on Chinese A-share sector indices and broad market indices from 2010-2022. It shows the composition of an A-share index can influence its sensitivity to the spillover effect of a particular US index. And the spillover becomes more prominent during a weak market.
    Literature Review 2 May 2023
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