Measuring economic activity in times of uncertainty
In times of uncertainty, indicators that measure economic activity and sentiment can commonly diverge, and the financial behaviours of businesses and consumers can be inconsistent with their economic expectations. In this report, we explore alternative data sources that we believe give a clearer picture of macroeconomic outcomes. We illustrate these examples in the context of Brexit and the global financial crisis – which highlight the difference that financial uncertainty and political uncertainty have on the macroeconomy.